ISM Services Employment Index

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) shows business conditions in the US non-manufacturing sector, taking into account expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. It is a significant indicator of the overall economic condition in the US. The ISM Services Employment Index represents business sentiment regarding labor market conditions and is considered a strong Non-Farm Payrolls leading indicator. A result above 50 is positive (or bullish) for the USD.

Most recent - Wednesday 4 June 2025 14:00

Previous
49
Revised
-
Forecast
52.3
Actual
50.7

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Thursday 3 July 2025 14:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for ISM Services Employment Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ISM Services Employment Index was 50.7 against a forecast of 52.3.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 4 June 2025 14:00
52.3
50.7
Monday 5 May 2025 14:00
-
49
Thursday 3 April 2025 14:00
-
46.2
Wednesday 5 March 2025 15:00
-
53.9
Wednesday 5 February 2025 15:00
-
52.3
Tuesday 7 January 2025 15:00
-
51.4
Wednesday 4 December 2024 15:00
-
51.5
Tuesday 5 November 2024 15:00
-
53
Thursday 3 October 2024 14:00
-
48.1
Thursday 5 September 2024 14:00
-
50.2
Monday 5 August 2024 14:00
46.5
51.1
Wednesday 3 July 2024 14:00
-
46.1
Wednesday 5 June 2024 14:00
-
47.1
Friday 3 May 2024 14:00
-
45.9
Wednesday 3 April 2024 14:00
-
48.5
Tuesday 5 March 2024 15:00
-
48
Monday 5 February 2024 15:00
-
50.5
Friday 5 January 2024 15:00
-
43.3
Tuesday 5 December 2023 15:00
-
50.7
Friday 3 November 2023 14:00
-
50.2
Wednesday 4 October 2023 14:00
-
53.4
Wednesday 6 September 2023 14:00
-
54.7
Thursday 3 August 2023 14:00
51.1
50.7
Thursday 6 July 2023 14:00
-
53.1
Monday 5 June 2023 14:00
51
49.2
Wednesday 3 May 2023 14:00
52.6
50.8
Wednesday 5 April 2023 14:00
52
51.3
Friday 3 March 2023 15:00
49.8
54
Friday 3 February 2023 15:00
50.5
50
Friday 6 January 2023 15:00
50.2
49.8
Monday 5 December 2022 15:00
51
51.5
Thursday 3 November 2022 14:00
51.6
49.1
Wednesday 5 October 2022 14:00
49.6
53
Tuesday 6 September 2022 14:00
48.2
50.2
Wednesday 3 August 2022 14:00
48.7
49.1
Wednesday 6 July 2022 14:00
49.8
47.4

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ISM Services Employment Index result:

PreviousLatest
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)(no change)3.9%3.9%
Labor Force Participation RateBearish change62.6%62.4%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change147K139K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.8%7.8%
Unemployment Rate(no change)4.2%4.2%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change239K247K
Nonfarm ProductivityBearish change-0.8%-1.5%
Unit Labor CostsBullish change5.7%6.6%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change105.441K93.816K
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change52.346.4
ISM Services PMIBearish change51.649.9
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change65.168.7
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change52.153
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change60K37K
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change3.4%-3.7%
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.2M7.391M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change46.546.8
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change47.247.6
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.748.5
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change69.869.4
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change46.547.9
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change50.852.2
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change7.3%6.6%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change4.6%4.2%
Chicago PMIBearish change44.640.5
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.1%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.7%2.5%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.3%2.1%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.7%0.8%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.7%0.2%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change5.5%-6.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change3.5%3.4%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change-0.3%-0.2%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)3.7%3.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change226K240K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)3.6%3.6%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.1%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change7.6%-6.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change9%-7.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change-0.2%0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.3%-1.3%

About ISM Services Employment Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Institute for Supply Management
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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