Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), released by US Bureau of Labour Statistics, is a quarterly measure of the change in the price of labor, defined as compensation per employee hour worked. Closely watched by many economists, the ECI is an indicator of cost pressures within companies that could lead to price inflation for finished goods and services. The index measures changes in the cost of compensation not only for wages and salaries, but also for an extensive list of benefits.

Most recent - Thursday 31 July 2025 12:30

Previous
0.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.8%
Actual
0.9%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Employment Cost Index was 0.9% against a forecast of 0.8%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 31 July 2025 12:30
0.8%
0.9%
Wednesday 30 April 2025 12:30
0.9%
0.9%
Friday 31 January 2025 13:30
0.9%
0.9%
Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30
0.9%
0.8%
Wednesday 31 July 2024 12:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 30 April 2024 12:30
1%
1.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 13:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 31 October 2023 12:30
1%
1.1%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:30
1.1%
1.2%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 13:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 October 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Employment Cost Index result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change57.255.9
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change58.658.2
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change4.9%4.8%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.9%3.5%
Chicago PMIBearish change47.141.5
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.8%2.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.6%2.6%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.5%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.8%-0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change3%3.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)2%2%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change234K229K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bearish change2.1%2%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change-0.1%-0.2%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-9.3%-2.8%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-9.5%-2.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.3%1.1%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.7%1.1%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change4.1%-0.6%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.7%2%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change55.155.4
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change49.853.3
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change55.755.4
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change224K235K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change15.9-0.3
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.393M1.354M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.321M1.428M

About Employment Cost Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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