Unemployment

The Unemployment Rate released by the National Institute of Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Italian economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Italian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Friday 28 February 2025 09:00

Previous
6.2%
Revised
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

Next event - Friday 28 March 2025 09:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 28 February 2025 09:00
-
-
Thursday 30 January 2025 10:00
5.7%
6.2%
Tuesday 7 January 2025 09:00
6%
5.7%
Monday 2 December 2024 09:00
6.1%
5.8%
Thursday 31 October 2024 09:00
6.2%
6.1%
Wednesday 2 October 2024 08:00
6.7%
6.2%
Friday 30 August 2024 08:00
7%
6.5%
Thursday 1 August 2024 08:00
6.8%
7%
Tuesday 2 July 2024 08:00
6.9%
6.8%
Thursday 30 May 2024 08:00
7.2%
6.9%
Friday 3 May 2024 08:00
7.5%
7.2%
Wednesday 3 April 2024 08:00
7.2%
7.5%
Friday 1 March 2024 09:00
7.2%
7.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 09:00
7.6%
7.2%
Tuesday 9 January 2024 09:00
7.9%
7.5%
Thursday 30 November 2023 09:00
7.5%
7.8%
Friday 3 November 2023 09:00
7.4%
7.4%
Monday 2 October 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.3%
Thursday 31 August 2023 08:00
7.4%
7.6%
Tuesday 1 August 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.4%
Friday 30 June 2023 08:00
7.9%
7.6%
Thursday 1 June 2023 08:00
7.8%
7.8%
Wednesday 3 May 2023 08:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 30 March 2023 08:00
8%
8%
Thursday 2 March 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Monday 9 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Thursday 1 December 2022 09:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 3 November 2022 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 08:00
7.9%
7.8%
Thursday 1 September 2022 08:00
8.1%
7.9%
Monday 1 August 2022 08:00
8.1%
8.1%
Thursday 30 June 2022 08:00
8.4%
8.1%
Wednesday 1 June 2022 08:00
8.3%
8.4%
Monday 2 May 2022 08:00
8.4%
8.3%
Thursday 31 March 2022 08:00
8.7%
8.5%
Thursday 3 March 2022 09:00
-
8.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)(no change)1.7%1.7%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.5%1.7%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change11K5K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)6.2%6.2%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bearish change1.8%0.9%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-1.6%0.2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change1.8%2.9%
Business ClimateBullish change-0.92-0.74
Consumer Confidence(no change)-13.6-13.6
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBullish change95.396.3
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.9%2.9%
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBearish change-22.4-24.7
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)(no change)-0.2%-0.2%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)(no change)-0.2%-0.2%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)(no change)-0.4%-0.4%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change-1%-0.9%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.7%2.7%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)-0.3%-0.3%
IFO – Business Climate(no change)85.285.2
IFO – Current AssessmentBearish change8685
IFO – ExpectationsBullish change84.385.4
HCOB Composite PMI(no change)50.250.2
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.647.3
HCOB Services PMIBearish change51.350.7
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)(no change)1.7%1.7%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)1.5%1.5%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change50.551
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change4546.1
HCOB Services PMIBearish change52.552.2
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change47.644.5
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change4545.5
HCOB Services PMIBearish change48.244.5
Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-14.2-13.6
Producer Price Index (MoM)(no change)-0.1%-0.1%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change0.8%0.5%
ZEW Survey – Current SituationBullish change-90.4-88.5
ZEW Survey – Economic SentimentBullish change10.326
ZEW Survey – Economic SentimentBullish change1824.2
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)(no change)1.8%1.8%

About Unemployment

Country:Italy
Currency:EUR
Source:ISTAT
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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