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Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex Autos released by the US Census Bureau is a monthly data that shows all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes except the automobile sector. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the USD.

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Most recent - Tuesday, 17 June 12:30

Revised

Forecast

0.1%

Actual

-0.3%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Thursday, 17 July 12:30

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) was -0.3% against a forecast of 0.1%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

17 June 2025 12:30

0.1%

-0.3%

15 May 2025 12:30

0.3%

0.1%

16 April 2025 12:30

0.3%

0.5%

17 March 2025 12:30

0.5%

0.3%

14 February 2025 13:30

0.3%

-0.4%

16 January 2025 13:30

0.4%

17 December 2024 13:30

0.4%

0.2%

15 November 2024 13:30

0.3%

0.1%

17 October 2024 12:30

0.1%

0.5%

17 September 2024 12:30

0.2%

0.1%

15 August 2024 12:30

0.1%

0.4%

16 July 2024 12:30

0.1%

0.4%

18 June 2024 12:30

0.2%

-0.1%

15 May 2024 12:30

0.2%

15 April 2024 12:30

0.4%

1.1%

14 March 2024 12:30

0.5%

0.3%

15 February 2024 13:30

0.2%

-0.6%

17 January 2024 13:30

0.2%

0.4%

14 December 2023 13:30

-0.1%

0.2%

15 November 2023 13:30

0.1%

17 October 2023 12:30

0.2%

0.6%

14 September 2023 12:30

0.4%

0.6%

15 August 2023 12:30

0.4%

18 July 2023 12:30

0.3%

0.2%

15 June 2023 12:30

0.1%

16 May 2023 12:30

0.4%

14 April 2023 12:30

-0.3%

-0.8%

15 March 2023 12:30

-0.1%

15 February 2023 13:30

0.8%

2.3%

18 January 2023 13:30

-0.4%

-1.1%

15 December 2022 13:30

0.2%

-0.2%

16 November 2022 13:30

0.4%

1.3%

14 October 2022 12:30

-0.1%

0.1%

15 September 2022 12:30

0.1%

-0.3%

17 August 2022 12:30

-0.1%

0.4%

15 July 2022 12:30

0.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) result:

		Previous	Latest
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.5%	0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bearish change	53	52.8
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	(no change)	52	52
S&P Global Services PMI	Bearish change	53.7	53.1
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey	(no change)	-4	-4
Fed Interest Rate Decision	(no change)	4.5%	4.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st year	Bullish change	3.4%	3.6%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd year	Bullish change	3.1%	3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - Current	(no change)	3.9%	3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer	(no change)	3%	3%
Building Permits (MoM)	Bearish change	1.422M	1.393M
Housing Starts (MoM)	Bearish change	1.392M	1.256M
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	250K	245K
Industrial Production (MoM)	Bearish change	0.1%	-0.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)	Bearish change	-0.1%	-0.9%
Retail Sales Control Group	Bullish change	-0.1%	0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index	Bearish change	-9.2	-16
Michigan Consumer Expectations Index	Bullish change	47.9	58.4
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bullish change	52.2	60.5
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations	Bearish change	6.6%	5.1%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bearish change	4.2%	4.1%
Initial Jobless Claims	(no change)	248K	248K
Producer Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.2%	0.1%
Producer Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.5%	2.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.2%	0.1%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)	Bearish change	3.2%	3%
Monthly Budget Statement	Bearish change	$258B	$-316B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0.2%	0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.3%	2.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)	Bearish change	0.2%	0.1%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)	(no change)	2.8%	2.8%

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Census Bureau
Category:	Consumption
Frequency:	Monthly

Related events

	Australia		Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)
	China		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (YoY)
	New Zealand		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
	United States		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Retail Sales Control Group
	Australia		Westpac Consumer Confidence
	Australia		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	Canada		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	Canada		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Switzerland		Real Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Germany		Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey
	Eurozone		Consumer Confidence
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Indonesia		Consumer Confidence
	Japan		Large Retailer Sales
	Japan		Retail Trade s.a (MoM)
	Japan		Retail Trade (YoY)
	New Zealand		ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
	New Zealand		Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ)
	New Zealand		Westpac Consumer Survey
	United Kingdom		BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)
	United Kingdom		GfK Consumer Confidence
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (YoY)
	United States		Consumer Confidence
	United States		UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations
	United States		UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation
	United States		Michigan Consumer Expectations Index
	United States		Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)
	United States		Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)
	United States		Personal Spending

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Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Most recent - Tuesday, 17 June 12:30

Next event - Thursday, 17 July 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Related events