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Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Hide description Full calendar

Most recent - Tuesday, 17 June 12:30

-0.1%

Revised

-0.1%

Forecast

-0.7%

Actual

-0.9%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Thursday, 17 July 12:30

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was -0.9% against a forecast of -0.7%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

17 June 2025 12:30

-0.7%

-0.9%

15 May 2025 12:30

0.1%

16 April 2025 12:30

1.3%

1.4%

17 March 2025 12:30

0.7%

0.2%

14 February 2025 13:30

-0.1%

-0.9%

16 January 2025 13:30

0.6%

0.4%

17 December 2024 13:30

0.5%

0.7%

15 November 2024 13:30

0.3%

0.4%

17 October 2024 12:30

0.3%

0.4%

17 September 2024 12:30

-0.2%

0.1%

15 August 2024 12:30

0.3%

16 July 2024 12:30

18 June 2024 12:30

0.2%

0.1%

15 May 2024 12:30

0.4%

15 April 2024 12:30

0.3%

0.7%

14 March 2024 12:30

0.8%

0.6%

15 February 2024 13:30

-0.1%

-0.8%

17 January 2024 13:30

0.4%

0.6%

14 December 2023 13:30

-0.1%

0.3%

15 November 2023 13:30

-0.3%

-0.1%

17 October 2023 12:30

0.3%

0.7%

14 September 2023 12:30

0.2%

0.6%

15 August 2023 12:30

0.4%

0.7%

18 July 2023 12:30

0.5%

0.2%

15 June 2023 12:30

-0.1%

0.3%

16 May 2023 12:30

0.7%

0.4%

14 April 2023 12:30

-0.4%

-1%

15 March 2023 12:30

-0.3%

-0.4%

15 February 2023 13:30

1.8%

18 January 2023 13:30

-0.8%

-1.1%

15 December 2022 13:30

-0.1%

-0.6%

16 November 2022 13:30

1.3%

14 October 2022 12:30

0.2%

15 September 2022 12:30

0.3%

17 August 2022 12:30

0.1%

15 July 2022 12:30

0.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

		Previous	Latest
Factory Orders (MoM)	Bullish change	-3.9%	8.2%
ISM Services Employment Index	Bearish change	50.7	47.2
ISM Services New Orders Index	Bullish change	46.4	51.3
ISM Services PMI	Bullish change	49.9	50.8
ISM Services Prices Paid	Bearish change	68.7	67.5
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bullish change	52.8	52.9
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)	Bearish change	3.8%	3.7%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	237K	233K
Labor Force Participation Rate	Bearish change	62.4%	62.3%
Nonfarm Payrolls	Bullish change	144K	147K
U6 Underemployment Rate	Bullish change	7.8%	7.7%
Unemployment Rate	Bullish change	4.2%	4.1%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)	Bearish change	0.4%	0.2%
ADP Employment Change	Bearish change	29K	-33K
Challenger Job Cuts	Bearish change	93.816K	47.999K
ISM Manufacturing Employment Index	Bearish change	46.8	45
ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index	Bearish change	47.6	46.4
ISM Manufacturing PMI	Bullish change	48.5	49
ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid	Bullish change	69.4	69.7
JOLTS Job Openings	Bullish change	7.395M	7.769M
Chicago PMI	Bearish change	40.5	40.4
Michigan Consumer Expectations Index	Bearish change	58.4	58.1
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bullish change	60.5	60.7
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations	Bearish change	5.1%	5%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bearish change	4.1%	4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.1%	0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.6%	2.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	(no change)	0.1%	0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.2%	2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)	Bearish change	0.7%	-0.4%
Personal Spending	Bearish change	0.2%	-0.1%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	-6.3%	1.8%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)	Bullish change	3.4%	3.5%
Durable Goods Orders	Bullish change	-6.6%	16.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense	Bullish change	-7.7%	15.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation	Bullish change	0%	0.5%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized	Bearish change	-0.2%	-0.5%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index	Bullish change	3.7%	3.8%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	245K	236K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft	Bullish change	-1.4%	1.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)	Bullish change	3.6%	3.7%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bearish change	9.6%	-13.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0%	-0.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.5%	0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bearish change	53	52.8
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	(no change)	52	52
S&P Global Services PMI	Bearish change	53.7	53.1

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Census Bureau
Category:	Consumption
Frequency:	Monthly

Related events

	Australia		Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)
	China		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (YoY)
	New Zealand		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
	United States		Retail Sales Control Group
	Australia		Westpac Consumer Confidence
	Australia		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	Canada		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	Canada		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Switzerland		Real Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Germany		Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey
	Eurozone		Consumer Confidence
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Indonesia		Consumer Confidence
	Japan		Large Retailer Sales
	Japan		Retail Trade s.a (MoM)
	Japan		Retail Trade (YoY)
	New Zealand		ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
	New Zealand		Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ)
	New Zealand		Westpac Consumer Survey
	United Kingdom		BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)
	United Kingdom		GfK Consumer Confidence
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (YoY)
	United States		Consumer Confidence
	United States		UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations
	United States		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	United States		UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation
	United States		Michigan Consumer Expectations Index
	United States		Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)
	United States		Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)
	United States		Personal Spending

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Retail Sales (MoM)

Most recent - Tuesday, 17 June 12:30

Next event - Thursday, 17 July 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Retail Sales (MoM) event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Related events