Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)

The Retail Sales ex-fuel released by the National Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the British retail sector excluding fuel. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Pound, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

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Most recent - Friday 21 February 2025 07:00

2.1%

Revised

2.1%

Forecast

0.5%

Actual

1.2%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Next event - Friday 28 March 2025 07:00

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) was 1.2% against a forecast of 0.5%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Friday 21 February 2025 07:00

0.5%

1.2%

Friday 17 January 2025 07:00

3.6%

2.9%

Friday 20 December 2024 07:00

0.7%

0.1%

Friday 22 November 2024 07:00

3.3%

Friday 18 October 2024 06:00

3.2%

Friday 20 September 2024 06:00

1.1%

2.3%

Friday 16 August 2024 06:00

1.4%

Friday 19 July 2024 06:00

0.2%

-0.8%

Friday 21 June 2024 06:00

-0.8%

1.2%

Friday 24 May 2024 06:00

-1.1%

-3%

Friday 19 April 2024 06:00

0.4%

Friday 22 March 2024 07:00

-0.9%

-0.5%

Friday 16 February 2024 07:00

-1.6%

0.7%

Friday 19 January 2024 07:00

1.3%

-2.1%

Friday 22 December 2023 07:00

-1.5%

0.3%

Friday 17 November 2023 07:00

-1.5%

-2.4%

Friday 20 October 2023 06:00

-1.2%

Friday 22 September 2023 06:00

-1.3%

-1.4%

Friday 18 August 2023 06:00

-2.2%

-3.4%

Friday 21 July 2023 06:00

-1.6%

-0.9%

Friday 23 June 2023 06:00

-2.1%

-1.7%

Friday 26 May 2023 06:00

-2.8%

-2.6%

Friday 21 April 2023 06:00

-3.1%

-3.2%

Friday 24 March 2023 07:00

-4.7%

-3.3%

Friday 17 February 2023 07:00

-5.3%

Friday 20 January 2023 07:00

-4.4%

-6.1%

Friday 16 December 2022 07:00

-5.8%

-5.9%

Friday 18 November 2022 07:00

-6.7%

Friday 21 October 2022 06:00

-4.1%

-6.2%

Friday 16 September 2022 06:00

-3.4%

-5%

Friday 19 August 2022 06:00

-3.1%

-3%

Friday 22 July 2022 06:00

-6.3%

-5.9%

Friday 24 June 2022 06:00

-5.1%

-5.7%

Friday 20 May 2022 06:00

-8.4%

-6.1%

Friday 22 April 2022 06:00

0.7%

-0.6%

Friday 25 March 2022 07:00

5.6%

4.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) result:

		Previous	Latest
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI	Bearish change	50.6	50.5
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	48.3	46.4
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI	Bullish change	50.9	51.1
Retail Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.6%	1.7%
Retail Sales (YoY)	Bearish change	2.8%	1%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.9%	2.1%
GfK Consumer Confidence	Bullish change	-22	-20
Consumer Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0.3%	-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.5%	3%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	3.2%	3.7%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.a	Bullish change	0%	0.3%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a	Bearish change	1.6%	1.5%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.a	Bullish change	-0.2%	0.5%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.a	Bullish change	-0.1%	0.3%
Retail Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0.3%	-0.1%
Retail Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	3.5%	3.6%
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)	Bullish change	5.6%	5.9%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)	Bullish change	5.6%	6%
Claimant Count Change	Bearish change	-15.1K	22K
Claimant Count Rate	Bearish change	4.5%	4.6%
Employment Change (3M)	Bullish change	35K	107K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)	(no change)	4.4%	4.4%

About Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)

Country:	United Kingdom
Currency:	GBP
Source:	Office for National Statistics
Category:	Consumption
Frequency:	Monthly

Related events

	Australia		Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)
	China		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (YoY)
	New Zealand		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
	United States		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Retail Sales Control Group
	Australia		Westpac Consumer Confidence
	Australia		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	Canada		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	Canada		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Switzerland		Real Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Germany		Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey
	Eurozone		Consumer Confidence
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Indonesia		Consumer Confidence
	Japan		Large Retailer Sales
	Japan		Retail Trade s.a (MoM)
	Japan		Retail Trade (YoY)
	New Zealand		ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
	New Zealand		Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ)
	New Zealand		Westpac Consumer Survey
	United Kingdom		BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)
	United Kingdom		GfK Consumer Confidence
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (YoY)
	United States		Consumer Confidence
	United States		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	United States		UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation
	United States		Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)
	United States		Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)
	United States		Personal Spending

Calendar - Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) - United Kingdom

Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)

Most recent - Friday 21 February 2025 07:00

Next event - Friday 28 March 2025 07:00

Trading range

Trading range after each Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)

Related events