ISM Manufacturing Employment Index

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index shows business conditions in the US manufacturing sector, taking into account expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. It is a significant indicator of the overall economic condition in US. The ISM Manufacturing Employment Index represents business sentiment regarding labor market conditions and is considered a strong Non-Farm Payrolls leading indicator. A high reading is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative.

Most recent - Friday 3 January 2025 15:00

Previous
48.1
Revised
-
Forecast
48
Actual
45.3

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Monday 3 February 2025 15:00

Previous
45.3
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for ISM Manufacturing Employment Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ISM Manufacturing Employment Index was 45.3 against a forecast of 48.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 3 January 2025 15:00
48
45.3
Monday 2 December 2024 15:00
-
48.1
Friday 1 November 2024 14:00
-
44.4
Tuesday 1 October 2024 14:00
47
43.9
Tuesday 3 September 2024 14:00
-
46
Thursday 1 August 2024 14:00
49
43.4
Monday 1 July 2024 14:00
50
49.3
Monday 3 June 2024 14:00
-
51.1
Wednesday 1 May 2024 14:00
-
48.6
Monday 1 April 2024 14:00
-
47.4
Friday 1 March 2024 15:00
-
45.9
Thursday 1 February 2024 15:00
-
47.1
Wednesday 3 January 2024 15:00
46.1
48.1
Friday 1 December 2023 15:00
-
45.8
Wednesday 1 November 2023 14:00
50.3
46.8
Monday 2 October 2023 14:00
48.3
51.2
Friday 1 September 2023 14:00
44.2
48.5
Tuesday 1 August 2023 14:00
48
44.4
Monday 3 July 2023 14:00
-
48.1
Thursday 1 June 2023 14:00
49.8
51.4
Monday 1 May 2023 14:00
47.9
50.2
Monday 3 April 2023 14:00
49.8
46.9
Wednesday 1 March 2023 15:00
51
49.1
Wednesday 1 February 2023 15:00
49
50.6
Wednesday 4 January 2023 15:00
48.3
51.4
Thursday 1 December 2022 15:00
49.3
48.4
Tuesday 1 November 2022 14:00
51.4
50
Monday 3 October 2022 14:00
52.1
48.7
Thursday 1 September 2022 14:00
49
54.2
Monday 1 August 2022 14:00
47.4
49.9
Friday 1 July 2022 14:00
50.2
47.3
Wednesday 1 June 2022 14:00
53.6
49.6
Monday 2 May 2022 14:00
54.7
50.9
Friday 1 April 2022 14:00
53.7
56.3
Tuesday 1 March 2022 15:00
54.4
52.9
Tuesday 1 February 2022 15:00
53.8
54.5

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ISM Manufacturing Employment Index result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.9%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.493M1.483M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.294M1.499M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change203K217K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-10.944.3
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.4%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change0.4%0.7%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.9%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.3%3.2%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change2.1-12.6
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-367B$-87B
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3%3.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change7473.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4%3.9%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.5%62.5%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change212K256K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change7.7%7.5%
Unemployment RateBullish change4.2%4.1%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change57.727K38.792K
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change211K201K
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change146K122K
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change51.551.4
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change53.754.2
ISM Services PMIBullish change52.154.1
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change58.264.4
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.839M8.098M
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.4%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change56.655.4

About ISM Manufacturing Employment Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Institute for Supply Management
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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