Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), released by US Bureau of Labour Statistics, is a quarterly measure of the change in the price of labor, defined as compensation per employee hour worked. Closely watched by many economists, the ECI is an indicator of cost pressures within companies that could lead to price inflation for finished goods and services. The index measures changes in the cost of compensation not only for wages and salaries, but also for an extensive list of benefits.

Most recent - Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30

Previous
0.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.9%
Actual
0.8%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 31 January 2025 13:30

Previous
0.8%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Employment Cost Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Employment Cost Index was 0.8% against a forecast of 0.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30
0.9%
0.8%
Wednesday 31 July 2024 12:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 30 April 2024 12:30
1%
1.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 13:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 31 October 2023 12:30
1%
1.1%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:30
1.1%
1.2%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 13:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 October 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.2%
Friday 29 July 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.3%
Friday 29 April 2022 12:30
1.1%
1.4%
Friday 28 January 2022 13:30
1.2%
1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Employment Cost Index result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.9%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.493M1.483M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.294M1.499M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change203K217K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-10.944.3
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.4%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change0.4%0.7%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.9%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.3%3.2%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change2.1-12.6
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-367B$-87B
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3%3.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change7473.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4%3.9%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.5%62.5%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change212K256K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change7.7%7.5%
Unemployment RateBullish change4.2%4.1%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change57.727K38.792K
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change211K201K
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change146K122K
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change51.551.4
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change53.754.2
ISM Services PMIBullish change52.154.1
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change58.264.4
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.839M8.098M
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.4%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change56.655.4

About Employment Cost Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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