Monthly Budget Statement

The Monthly Budget Statement released by the Financial Management Service summarizes the financial activities of federal entities, disbursing officers, and Federal Reserve banks. A positive budget statement that receipts exceed budgetary outlays is seen as bullish for the USD. On the other hands, a negative figure (deficit) that indicates government debt is seen as bearish.

Most recent - Tuesday 14 January 2025 19:00

Previous
$-367B
Revised
-
Forecast
$-75B
Actual
$-87B

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Wednesday 12 February 2025 19:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Monthly Budget Statement yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Monthly Budget Statement was $-87B against a forecast of $-75B.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 14 January 2025 19:00
$-75B
$-87B
Wednesday 11 December 2024 19:00
$-353B
$-367B
Wednesday 13 November 2024 19:00
$-211B
$-257B
Friday 18 October 2024 20:00
$61B
$64B
Thursday 12 September 2024 18:00
$-349.6B
$-380B
Monday 12 August 2024 18:00
$-254.3B
$-244B
Thursday 11 July 2024 18:00
$-83B
$-66B
Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00
$-250B
$-347B
Friday 10 May 2024 18:00
$244.5B
$209.5B
Wednesday 10 April 2024 18:00
$-197.5B
$-236B
Tuesday 12 March 2024 18:00
$-299B
$-296B
Monday 12 February 2024 19:00
$-21B
$-22B
Thursday 11 January 2024 19:00
$-65.25B
$-129B
Tuesday 12 December 2023 19:00
$-301.05B
$-314B
Monday 13 November 2023 19:00
$-65B
$-67B
Friday 20 October 2023 18:00
$-78.6B
$-171B
Wednesday 13 September 2023 18:00
$-240B
$89B
Thursday 10 August 2023 18:00
$-109.3B
$-221B
Thursday 13 July 2023 18:00
$-175B
$-228B
Monday 12 June 2023 18:00
$-236B
$-240B
Wednesday 10 May 2023 18:00
$235B
$176B
Wednesday 12 April 2023 18:00
$-302B
$-378B
Friday 10 March 2023 19:00
$-256B
$-262B
Friday 10 February 2023 19:00
$-63B
$-39B
Thursday 12 January 2023 19:00
$-70B
$-85B
Monday 12 December 2022 19:00
-
$-249B
Thursday 10 November 2022 19:00
$-90B
$-88B
Friday 21 October 2022 14:30
-
$-430B
Tuesday 13 September 2022 18:00
$-213.5B
$-220B
Wednesday 10 August 2022 18:00
$-194B
$-211B
Wednesday 13 July 2022 18:00
$-76.5B
$-89B
Friday 10 June 2022 18:00
$-120B
$-66B
Wednesday 11 May 2022 18:00
$226B
$308B
Tuesday 12 April 2022 18:00
$-191B
$-193B
Thursday 10 March 2022 19:00
$-49.5B
$-217B
Thursday 10 February 2022 19:00
$25B
$119B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Monthly Budget Statement result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.9%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.493M1.483M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.294M1.499M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change203K217K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-10.944.3
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.4%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change0.4%0.7%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.9%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.3%3.2%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change2.1-12.6
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3%3.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change7473.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4%3.9%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.5%62.5%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change212K256K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change7.7%7.5%
Unemployment RateBullish change4.2%4.1%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change57.727K38.792K
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change211K201K
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change146K122K
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change51.551.4
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change53.754.2
ISM Services PMIBullish change52.154.1
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change58.264.4
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.839M8.098M
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.4%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change56.655.4

About Monthly Budget Statement

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of the Fiscal Service
Category:Politics
Frequency:Monthly
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