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Gross Domestic Product Annualized

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth on an annualized basis for each quarter. After publishing the first estimate, the BEA revises the data two more times, with the third release representing the final reading. Usually, the first estimate is the main market mover and a positive surprise is seen as a USD-positive development while a disappointing print is likely to weigh on the greenback. Market participants usually dismiss the second and third releases as they are generally not significant enough to meaningfully alter the growth picture.

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Next event - Thursday 30 January 2025 13:30

3.1%

Forecast

2.6%

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

The consensus forecast for Gross Domestic Product Annualized is 2.6%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Most recent - Thursday 19 December 2024 13:30

2.8%

Revised

Forecast

2.8%

Actual

3.1%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Gross Domestic Product Annualized was 3.1% against a forecast of 2.8%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Thursday 19 December 2024 13:30

2.8%

3.1%

Wednesday 27 November 2024 13:30

2.8%

Wednesday 30 October 2024 12:30

2.8%

Thursday 26 September 2024 12:30

Thursday 29 August 2024 12:30

2.8%

Thursday 25 July 2024 12:30

2.8%

Thursday 27 June 2024 12:30

1.4%

Thursday 30 May 2024 12:30

1.3%

Thursday 25 April 2024 12:30

2.5%

1.6%

Thursday 28 March 2024 12:30

3.2%

3.4%

Wednesday 28 February 2024 13:30

3.3%

3.2%

Thursday 25 January 2024 13:30

3.3%

Thursday 21 December 2023 13:30

5.2%

4.9%

Wednesday 29 November 2023 13:30

5.2%

Thursday 26 October 2023 12:30

4.2%

4.9%

Thursday 28 September 2023 12:30

2.1%

Wednesday 30 August 2023 12:30

2.4%

2.1%

Thursday 27 July 2023 12:30

1.8%

2.4%

Thursday 29 June 2023 12:30

1.3%

Thursday 25 May 2023 12:30

1.1%

1.3%

Thursday 27 April 2023 12:30

1.1%

Thursday 30 March 2023 12:30

2.7%

2.6%

Thursday 23 February 2023 13:30

2.9%

2.7%

Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30

2.6%

2.9%

Thursday 22 December 2022 13:30

2.9%

3.2%

Wednesday 30 November 2022 13:30

2.6%

2.9%

Thursday 27 October 2022 12:30

2.4%

2.6%

Thursday 29 September 2022 12:30

-0.6%

Thursday 25 August 2022 12:30

-0.8%

-0.6%

Thursday 28 July 2022 12:30

0.5%

-0.9%

Wednesday 29 June 2022 12:30

-1.5%

-1.6%

Thursday 26 May 2022 12:30

-1.3%

-1.5%

Thursday 28 April 2022 12:30

1.1%

-1.4%

Wednesday 30 March 2022 12:30

6.9%

Thursday 24 February 2022 13:30

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Gross Domestic Product Annualized result:

		Previous	Latest
Fed Interest Rate Decision	(no change)	4.5%	4.5%
Housing Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0.4%	0.3%
Durable Goods Orders	Bearish change	-2%	-2.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense	Bearish change	-1.3%	-2.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation	Bullish change	-0.2%	0.3%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft	Bearish change	0.9%	0.5%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bearish change	9.6%	3.6%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bearish change	4.8%	2.2%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bearish change	73.2	71.1
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bearish change	3.3%	3.2%
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bearish change	55.4	52.4
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	Bullish change	49.4	50.1
S&P Global Services PMI	Bearish change	56.8	52.8
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	217K	223K
Industrial Production (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.9%
Building Permits (MoM)	Bearish change	1.493M	1.483M
Housing Starts (MoM)	Bullish change	1.294M	1.499M
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	203K	217K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey	Bullish change	-10.9	44.3
Retail Sales (MoM)	Bearish change	0.8%	0.4%
Retail Sales Control Group	Bullish change	0.4%	0.7%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.4%

About Gross Domestic Product Annualized

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Category:	Economic Activity
Frequency:	Quarterly

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Gross Domestic Product Annualized

Next event - Thursday 30 January 2025 13:30

Most recent - Thursday 19 December 2024 13:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Gross Domestic Product Annualized event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Gross Domestic Product Annualized

Related events