Challenges
X
Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook
Most recent - Monday 30 June 2025 23:50
Previous
12
Forecast
9
Actual
12
Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for JPY/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/JPY pairs.
Trading range
Forecast history
The most recent announced value for Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook was 12 against a forecast of 9.
Past events
Date
Forecast
Actual
Monday 30 June 2025 23:50
9
12
Monday 31 March 2025 23:50
9
12
Thursday 12 December 2024 23:50
11
13
Monday 30 September 2024 23:50
-
14
Sunday 30 June 2024 23:50
-
14
Sunday 31 March 2024 23:50
11
10
Tuesday 12 December 2023 23:50
9
8
Sunday 1 October 2023 23:50
5
10
Sunday 2 July 2023 23:50
5
9
Sunday 2 April 2023 23:50
4
3
Tuesday 13 December 2022 23:50
6
6
Sunday 2 October 2022 23:50
11
9
Economic context
Recent economic data has been strongly bearish for JPY. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook result:
| Previous | Latest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Large Retailer Sales | Bullish change | 1% | 2% | ||
| Retail Trade (YoY) | Bearish change | 1.9% | 0.3% | ||
| Retail Trade s.a (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.9% | -1.6% | ||
| Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 2.9% | 2.6% | ||
| Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.1% | 3% | ||
| Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) | Bearish change | 2.9% | 2.5% | ||
| Unemployment Rate | Bullish change | 2.5% | 2.3% | ||
| National Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.3% | 3.1% | ||
| National CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) | (no change) | 3.4% | 3.4% | ||
| National CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.3% | 3.1% | ||
| Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance | Bearish change | ¥-247.6B | ¥-303B | ||
| Exports (YoY) | Bearish change | -0.5% | -2.6% | ||
| Imports (YoY) | Bearish change | 0.3% | -7.5% | ||
| Merchandise Trade Balance Total | Bearish change | ¥152.1B | ¥-117.5B |
About Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook
| Country: | Japan |
|---|---|
| Currency: | JPY |
| Source: | Bank of Japan |
| Category: | Economic Activity |
| Frequency: | Quarterly |